Comments on: Those advance polls

By: j

Fri, 29 Apr 2011 17:19:07 +0000

I think that if people go and vote in the advanced polls their minds are pretty much made up and they will not change their mind between the advanced poll and vote day.

By: cwaddell

cwaddell — Wed, 27 Apr 2011 09:45:02 +0000

Agreed although even in Quebec the NDP growth was still gathering steam if opinion polls turn out to be correct.
Outside the ridings where they have been competitive in the past or targeted this time, I suspect the NDP wouldn’t have the time or resources to identify its new voters to pull them on advance polling days.

By: Greendptwit

Greendptwit — Wed, 27 Apr 2011 03:38:51 +0000

Interesting comments. If there is a continuing wave of rising NDP support, then the votes in the box would not reflect this. However, recall that what EKOS was reporting was what was already out there. In Quebec at least (if EKOS is right) the advance polls will still show pretty astonishing numbers. The high turnout, if it is a “throw the bums out” instead of convenient long weekend, could further skew to those motivated for change. Finally, parties try to get supporters out early because there is less ground game on E-Day, so some of that vote is a sewn-up vote.

By: cwaddell

cwaddell — Wed, 27 Apr 2011 01:11:08 +0000

That’s not correct. The advance polls were on October 3,4 and 6, 2008 – the week before Thanksgiving. Election day itself was Tuesday October 14, 2008, the day after Thanksgiving Monday.

Federal elections are held on Mondays but because that Monday was a holiday the voting day was switched to Tuesday.

By: Cara

Cara — Wed, 27 Apr 2011 00:53:07 +0000

The 2008 election advance polls were held on the Thanksgiving long weekend